June 26, 2015

Don’t underestimate the Liberals – they’ve surprised us before

Joshua LiebleinRebel Blogger
 

The year is 1999. The Common Sense Revolution is in full swing. It’s a grand time to be a conservative provincially in Ontario. An awkward newcomer named Dalton McGuinty steps to the plate to face off against Premier Mike Harris and the mighty Big Blue Machine. If you squint your eyes, you can just make out a dorky egghead named Gerald Butts standing in McGuinty’s corner. 

This fella Dalton is not his Daddy, say the political wags of the day. Dalton Sr. was a towering figure who turned the riding of Ottawa South into a veritable Liberal satrap.  And so the Ontario PCs, not wanting to be too tough on the youngster, produce a bunch of negative ads proclaiming him to be “not up to the job.”

McGuinty, hilariously, compounds the already devastating effect of the ads by releasing an ad of his own (which I, sadly, cannot find online,) saying something to the effect of, “Mike Harris says I’m not up to the job! Well, if firing nurses is what it takes to be Premier, then I’m not up to the job!” Heads shake. Shoulders shrug. Poor, clueless Dalton will never be Premier.

The smoke clears on Election Day and the PCs are down a whopping 23 seats (mostly because of a decrease in the number of ridings, but nobody seems to care about that). The NDP are down 8 seats as the unions desert them in the late days of the campaign. Only the Liberals under Dalton increase their seat count. McGuinty - not for the last time - has exceeded the rock-bottom expectations everyone had for him.

Fast forward to 2015, where Ontario is a smouldering wreck and has yet farther to fall, as impossible as that seems. The union beast stalks the land, preying on innocent parents, hijacking by-elections and terminating conservatives of all sorts with extreme prejudice. The NDP is a shell of itself, having crashed and burned after being deserted by Big Labour yet again.

Federally, however, there is another callow Liberal leader facing down a powerful conservative machine, a Liberal who is also backed by the elusive Mr. Butts and has been written off as a shadow of his famous Papa after feeling the sting of dismissive conservative ads. The NDP swells with pride as they press the attack against the ruling conservative party, confident that the union hordes will never desert them for the third-place Liberals.

In case I haven’t been clear about where I’m going with this, we’ve had a good time laughing at Truderpy The Shiny Pony and his hilarious fails, but it’s time to get serious now. These are Liberals. They are never going to run out of second chances, and the worst possible thing we can do is take them lightly. One comment labelling Trudeau a “reptilian kitten eaterfrom another planet” - showing that you don’t take him seriously - and it’s all over, just like it was all over for the Ontario PCs.

No matter what the polls say (and why anyone would trust polls given how wrong they’ve been is beyond me,) this election in October is Harper fighting a two (and possibly even three) front war. The odds are against the conservatives, because they are always against the conservatives.  

Why do we keep forgetting this simple, basic truth? I believe that it is because we get sick of being the bad guys. It’s hard to be hated, all the time, no matter what you do, while the Liberals get away with everything. We rail against Trudeau, but there is just the slightest touch of envy underneath it all.

 

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Comments
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commented 2015-06-30 18:19:17 -0400
Don’t overestimate the Liberals. They can’t find a decent leader, and don’t have any policies Canadians can get behind. Dont underestimate the NDP. They’re no longer the 3rd party throwaway that nobody takes notice of — they’re actually contenders for the Prime Ministership, God help us all!
commented 2015-06-28 12:54:18 -0400
LMAO, I remember Dalton McGuinty being called an “evil reptilian kitten-eater”! And of course, what happened after, coinciding with my move from Ontario to Alberta. Thanks for the reality check, Joshua.
commented 2015-06-27 00:17:18 -0400
No Vlad, what I am saying is that the PC’s made a mistake by setting the bar so low for McGuinty. When he won those 5 seats, it made him look like he’d done better than everyone had expected him to. Because of that he was able to dodge the leadership challenge and win the next election. Let’s hope history doesn’t repeat itself, huh?
commented 2015-06-26 18:45:44 -0400
“… The smoke clears on Election Day and the PCs are down a whopping 23 seats (mostly because of a decrease in the number of ridings, but nobody seems to care about that). The NDP are down 8 seats as the unions desert them in the late days of the campaign. Only the Liberals under Dalton increase their seat count. McGuinty – not for the last time – has exceeded the rock-bottom expectations everyone had for him. …”

WTF? Ontario seat count went from 130 to 107 in 1999. Harris was going through a messy divorce – something that PIG McFK-WAD was only too happy to exploit. In 1999, the MSM controlled voter thought – today, MSM is joke with fewer sheeple along for the ride.

And in 1999, Harris won a second majority. You working for the liberals Josh?
commented 2015-06-26 18:21:01 -0400
I’m always surprised, no shocked, at how immature Liberals really are. If it wasn’t for the complete smear job by the MSM against anything conservative, or anything Harper, the Liberals wouldn’t even be in the running.