May 07, 2015

Question of the Day: Will NDP's Alberta victory translate into federal seats in the fall election?

Emily PrattRebel Correspondent
 

The NDP's Alberta majority win has Thomas Mulcair and the federal New Democratic Party celebrating.

I asks if the NDP's "orange crush" in Alberta will translate into more seats for that party in the federal election this fall.

Tell us what you think in the comments!

 

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Comments
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commented 2015-05-08 02:40:16 -0400
This is the biggest question looming in Canadian politics in the wake of the (surprising to me, at least) NDP takeover in Alberta. I certainly hope it does not forecast an NDP coup in federal politics. Uggghhhh.
What I truly find disturbing is the scary correlation between the actual results and the mock student results over the past few provincial elections in Alberta. The NDP swing among publically-educated students is very telling of the shift in the focus of public education along politically partisan (read: liberal, “progressive”) lines.
Vlad, how do you suppose Harper can unilaterally change the constitution? Do you know anything about constitutional amendment? I suspect not, and would therefore advise keeping your unsupported suspicions to yourself.
commented 2015-05-07 23:48:50 -0400
Notely called up big oil today to reassure that everything would be ok for them in Alberta, and not to run for the hills. This will be a beer and popcorn train wreck to watch.
commented 2015-05-07 23:45:04 -0400
@ Dave Macpherson

Well shouted. :) I agree completely. It will be the people and especially the small businesses that will suffer under this NDP government. I am going to be depressed for four years, probably right along side all other Conservatives in the province.
commented 2015-05-07 23:35:00 -0400
What country have you chosen to move to Blair.
commented 2015-05-07 22:30:09 -0400
The Alberta election was a protest win the same way the Quebec Orange Crush was in the last federal election. No more. No less.
commented 2015-05-07 21:58:42 -0400
It won’t translate, sorry Tom.
commented 2015-05-07 20:12:34 -0400
Alberta people have shown to stupidity of the masses. I could care less who was elected, I am retired now and get to laugh at the sewer that Canada and Alberta has become. Let’s completely finish the country off and elect trudolt….
commented 2015-05-07 19:31:33 -0400
More percentage for Angry Tom _ I doubt it = Truedough la do has the Dip soft voter and the greens have the Dip hard left vote. But most of all what Mad Tom and the Fed-Dips DON’T have is the extortionist public sector unions – those belong to the klepto Libs. Tom needs to learn crony-communism from Wynn/McGuinty/Truedough la Butts
commented 2015-05-07 19:22:32 -0400
See how complicit the media is in electioneering? They’ve been pounding on Harper for years, often with no reason at all, and the average joe who doesn’t know any better buys it. Like Ron Zager said, the average joe thinks Harper is doing a terrible job, but can’t say why. I can — it’s called Media Spin. Should we look closer into how the Alberta NDP were supported by the media?

In other words, Rebel Staff, unless you want this site to be just another right-wing fringe organization, you’d better go big, because you’re only preaching to the choir, here.
commented 2015-05-07 18:19:37 -0400
was this done in toronto?
commented 2015-05-07 17:47:52 -0400
@vlad Johnson : “Will be interesting to see if Harper changes the constitution in his final term” – What are you talking about? The Only Ones with Hidden Agendas are the Liberals and NDP.
Inquiring minds want to know!
commented 2015-05-07 17:43:51 -0400
HELL NO! That Rabid Angry Muskrat will NEVER be acceptable to Alberta! Those welfare vampires would drop us out of the G8 and G20 and leave us in a steaming heap with developing/devolving countries.
commented 2015-05-07 17:43:44 -0400
Liberal / Ndp Ideology is a Curse to the Private Sector. They are always STEALING from us to give to the OVERPAID, OVERVALUED Public Sector. I’m so tired of that Socialist Curse. Regarding the Minimum Wage – YOU HAVE TO CUT TAXES!!! An ENTREPRENEUR’S HARD EARNED INCOME BELONGS TO THEM AND THEIR FAMILIES. The more you STEAL from Entrepreneurs, it means DEPRIVING them, their Families and those Entrepreneurs who Employ, Depriving their Employees a good Salary. For those Entrepreneurs who Employ: IF they’re set up right, they will reward HARDWORKING Employees – if they aren’t, they will be a " Revolving Door " .

The more you Tax, the more things WILL COSTFACT. Keeping MORE OF OUR MONEY IN OUR POCKETS is what is BEST for Everyone. If you want to support your Socialist Interests, please do so out of your own pockets – not mine or others’ .

Ndp and Liberals CREATE : Homelessness, Poverty, Low / Fixed Income, the Public Sector getting Richer at the Private Sector’s Expense and the Private Sector getting Poorer ( by STEALING from us ) .

I AND OTHERS’ ARE HARDWORKING SELF EMPLOYED ENTREPRENEURSBUILDING TEAMS / HELPING OUR TEAMS BUILD THEIR TEAMS AND SO ON……….. RAISING PEOPLE UP OUT OF THE STATUS QUO OF EGO, MEDIOCRITY AND ENTITLEMENT.

PM STEPHEN HARPER AND OUR CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT ARE THE ONLY ONES WHO STAND UP FOR ALL OF US AND EVERY CANADIANWITH THEM, EVERYONE GETS AHEAD!!! THAT MATTERS TO ME BECAUSE EVERYONE MATTERS TO ME. WE ALL WIN!!! WE ARE SO INCREDIBLY AND INCREASINGLY BLESSED WITH OUR PM AND GOVERNMENT!!!
commented 2015-05-07 17:30:09 -0400
Over my years I’ve never managed to identify a strong correlation between provincial election results and the results of a federal election. I know examples exist which might support that notion, but for each of those examples there seems to exist an equal and opposite example.

But if I’m wrong, I’d suggest that, with or without an Alberta election, the federal NDP (and Conservatives) are in danger of losing many of their seats to the federal Liberals. I’m therefore hoping (and predicting) that the left’s vote will be split and that the gains made by the Liberals (and we shouldn’t fool ourselves, they will make gains) will be made mostly at the expense of the NDP.

As an old golfer I’m reminded of just how many tournaments that were won by Gary Player because Jack Nicholas and Arnold Palmer would get so wrapped up, each trying to outdo the other, that Gary would often quietly zoom in under the radar and walk away with the first place trophy and cheque. My apologies to non-golfing rebels.
commented 2015-05-07 17:03:48 -0400
Amazing that even Ezra missed the split vote. Add the Wildrose and PC votes and NDP is opposition with about 10-15 seats.

The split vote was why Prentice tried to end Wildrose. Idiot Prentice did not even need to call an election.

On a national level, the opposite will apply and the troodo and mulcair will split the left. Presto, Harper majority.

Will be interesting to see if Harper changes the constitution in his final term. I suspect he will – the SCOC has already laid out the rules to do this.
commented 2015-05-07 16:50:16 -0400
And you wonder why we are moraley bankrupt. Give those commie NDP a couple of month in power and you will see a shift to the right. Prime Minister Harpe is simple the best coice or shouls I say the ONLY CHOICE. He will be remembered as Canada’s greatest Prime Minister and history will judge him that way Those NDP ers think the vote out in Alberta was for the NDP They are living in LA LA LAND it was a protest vote and next time around the Wild Rose will form the government and Albertans will be waiting
commented 2015-05-07 16:26:24 -0400
Nope… 40% NDP vote 4% Liberal to be split unless someone doesn’t run candidates in Alberta … vs. 52% Conservative not to be split like the provincial election. So expect 1 maybe 3 NPD in Edmonton and a lot blue elsewhere.

Why has no one looked at vote splitting ;-) and how can the have a majority with only 40% oh wait it’s OK is the conservative vote is split not the left vote.. silly me.
commented 2015-05-07 16:22:03 -0400
Geez, Ron, I hope you are wrong.

I don’t believe the NDP Alberta victory is good measure of how people will vote federally. The Alberta PC is unlike the federal Conservatives leaders in power; although I do have concerns about those running the Conservative Party of Canada. I think they could do better.

Polls show the Conservative Party still in the lead. But let’s see what summer brings.

In my riding the Conservative candidate is replacing long-time MPBarry Devolin and is not up to the job. The only way he may get elected is if our constituency votes blue to return Harper to power. The NDP candidate is a real star and while it would be like Alberta for our riding to turn orange, I would not rule it out. And Peterborough, right below us, is running a female Muslim Liberal candidate who could win as she is running against the seat formerly held by Dean Del Mastro.

Sigh. Maybe we will pick up seats in Quebec though and maybe even in Toronto. Let’s hope.
commented 2015-05-07 16:09:31 -0400
I think this what is coming Federally. I am in Alberta and everyone I talk to wants Harper gone. They say he is doing a terrible job but are unable to articulate how. Canadians are socialists at heart and it is just a matter of time.