July 08, 2015

What you don't know about the climate change debate

Tim BallRebel Columnist

Four little-known facts about the climate predictions (projections) made by the Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC) completely mislead public understanding of the climate debate. Unfortunately, the misdirection was relatively easy because only 20 percent of the public have even basic science literacy. 

1. Political powers limited IPCC research from the start with the definition of climate change given to them by Article I of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). It states:

Climate change means a change of climate, which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over considerable periods of time.

This definition excludes most natural causes, which makes it impossible to determine the human portion.

The IPCC knew this was a problem and ignored it until it became politically threatening. In 2007, they added the following new, vastly different, definition:  

Climate change in IPCC usage refers to any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity.

The new definition couldn’t change anything because the Reports were cumulative, that is once they established a pattern they could not change without starting over completely. As a result, the wider definition was placed as a Footnote in the Summary For Policymakers (SPM) for the 2007 Report.

2. The public believes that a CO2 increase results in a temperature increase. It doesn’t, yet it is the fundamental premise to the claims of human induced global warming. In every record of any duration from any period the temperature increases before the CO2. In contradiction to this evidence the IPCC computer models are programmed so that a CO2 increase causes a temperature increase.

3. The projections made by the IPCC and presented as policy recommendations in the Summary For Policymakers (SPM) combine the climate model predictions and economic forecasts. The combination creates three Scenarios. Each assumes that a CO2 increase causes a temperature increase.

However, the amount of CO2 increase is determined by economic development, which yields low, medium, and high projections. The IPCC are wrong for their temperature and CO2 forecasts. Even the lowest projections of both are wrong:

4.  The public thinks the IPCC make forecasts. They do not. Initially, they called them predictions. These predictions were so incorrect in the 1990 Report that they changed to calling them projections. This changing terminology is what they did every time the evidence contradicted their claims.

For example, global warming became climate change after CO2 continued to increase but temperatures stopped rising. They did not say they were switching because the predictions were wrong. Instead, they claimed it was because the future depended on what happened if the world continued with “business as usual”. In other words, here is what will happen if you don’t change your ways. This position is the central theme of the Pope’s Encyclical; mend your Earth destroying ways or face the consequences.

The entire IPCC exercise was orchestrated to achieve the specific result of showing that human production of CO2 was causing global warming. The actions taken predetermined the results and in four significant ways created the differences between what the public understands and actual practice.

Thank goodness they could not control nature, which acts independently of their political machinations. This does not mean they have not tried to control nature with chemtrails, iron fertilization of vast tracks of ocean to increase CO2 absorption and many other hair-brained geoengineering schemes. Maybe the Pope should pray to save us from political agendas with no scientific basis. 


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commented 2015-07-10 00:37:51 -0400
Thank you for keeping up the fight, Dr. Ball.
commented 2015-07-09 23:43:48 -0400
Thank you Dr. Ball. . Your sane voice in this upside down world is most appreciated.
commented 2015-07-09 20:20:18 -0400
The MSM is ramping up their rhetoric now, prepping for Paris in December. CTV was all over the meetings in Toronto earlier. You could feel the excitement in their broadcast…look “the west is burning and Al Gore says Climate Change is real and we can stop it”. Check this http://www.wclimate.com/ the Paris conference feels like a network marketing conference. Everyone will be there…come meet the stars of the climate change battle. Unbelievable…the biggest scam in human existence. How to stop them?
commented 2015-07-09 18:16:48 -0400
I hear that plants stopped breathing CO2 and that’s why it’s building up. I don’t know what the Nitrogen is building up though. Is someone letting the N out of aircraft tires? It now makes up 78% of our Atmosphere. Stop this runaway trend. Stop flying and ban aircraft now! This is how ridiculous the lefty panic artists sound.
commented 2015-07-09 16:04:14 -0400
I don’t know about ‘chem trails’ … that for the most part does seem a bit conspiracy BUT I just looked up iron fertilization and that’s for real. Wow…and its apparently help maintain growth of plankton etc… Wow. This whole climate ‘science’ has gone full bore stupid. In fact it seems like climate science stupid is following Moore’s Law of doubling.
commented 2015-07-09 15:03:05 -0400
Socialists have fkd taxpayers to finance big fat gewbermint and intrusion into out lives and now these fks have run out of cash.

So the socialists have invented MOAR BULLSH*T to suck off corporate taxpayers – CARBAN TAXZEZ!!! – for even MOAR MONEY to pay for MOAR big fat gubbamint.

It will be a pleasure to watch the rest of PIIGS (sans the G) collapse financially – although the chinese may beat them to it.

The problem here is the nazi pig WYNNE who is bankrupting this province – this will be painful for the stupids who voted for this vile disgusting pig. ROT IN H8LL WYNNE!!!
commented 2015-07-09 10:35:57 -0400
Dear Dr. Ball….that’s “hare-brained”…as in brain of a rabbit….not “hair-brained” (sic) Apart from that, the hottest it has been on this date (9 July) in Toronto….WAS IN 1995…37c. TWENTY years ago. Moreover, the Sea Level rise…is at the same rate that it has been for hundreds of years….about 3mm per YEAR. That, for the metrically challenged, is about ONE FOOT in 100 YEARS.
commented 2015-07-09 10:17:47 -0400
Isn’t Mr. Gore in Toronto now? Someone should investigate the murky underworld of “carbon offsets,” subsidies for “alternatives to fossil fuels,” and other questionable activities being funded by taxpayers’ monies. How much public funds have gone into the Tesla? into the various solar arrays? the wind turbine fiascos? Certainly, the various actions of “foundations” devoted to “saving the Earth” should be thoroughly analyzed. At some point they will be looked at with a real vision instead of the manufactured one. It is amazing that such abuse of the public can continue for so long. Has Greenpeace ever planted a single tree? The Irving Forest Products companies have planted close to 1 billion trees! Our country has one of the lowest “carbon footprints” in the world and one of the highest rates of “carbon sequestration.” Do not accept that we must feel guilty for the standard of living in Canada.
commented 2015-07-09 08:06:11 -0400
Try Googling “Enron global warming” for interesting items.
Renting seeking and tax gouging on steroids was and still is the game.
The biggest scam ever attempted has plenty of life left in it.
commented 2015-07-09 03:20:22 -0400
Another plain tale from the hills of truth by Dr Tim Ball.

John Doran.
commented 2015-07-08 23:56:54 -0400
Tim. You probably could have extended your commentary even further if you added IPCC’s statistical methods into the mix. By selectively choosing the data, anything can be changed from fiction to their “facts”. Keep up the fight.
commented 2015-07-08 17:36:23 -0400
lonely world out there tim. the ELM[environmental lying movement] have done a great harm to real science. but public relations their great at. eventually after no climate change in 20 years the no side should be winning. and yet we still have to fight for every inch against the liars and chicken little clowns out there. too bad. good to see you have a forum here with rebel to go after the liars. great job.