August 24, 2018

“Civil war”: Bernier and Scheer just cost the Conservatives a majority in 2019

Ezra LevantRebel Commander

I was flying to Halifax, to cover the Conservative Party convention, when Maxime Bernier announced his resignation from the party, and his plan to start a new one.

He outlined disagreements he had with Andrew Scheer, including Scheer’s support for supply management — a form of subsidy for Quebec’s dairy industry.

But frankly, none of Bernier’s stated grievances seemed impossible to resolve.

Bernier was already steering the party towards his views on immigration and multiculturalism. And the party convention this weekend was scheduled to reconsider the dairy issue, too,

Did Bernier really have to quit — and devastate the Conservatives' election chances, by announcing his plans to start a rival party?

And isn’t handling troublesome MPs just part of the job for Andrew Scheer, and any party leader?

But what shocked me the most today was when Bernier said that Scheer hadn’t even talked to him in nine days.

Bernier has been signalling his discontent for weeks; he has been making provocative policy statements; he got into public quarrels with other Conservative MPs.

And Scheer just watched passively — not even a phone call, let alone a face-to-face meeting?

On my TV show last night, I gave Scheer my unsolicited advice on how to handle Bernier. It’s too late now.

The party is in disarray. I sense that Scheer and his staff might be celebrating though — Bernier is no longer an internal rival to Scheer. That’s true — but Scheer now leads a smaller party, that’s demoralized and divided internally.

And if Bernier really does start his new party, it will probably split the vote enough to guarantee Justin Trudeau’s reelection.

Stephen Harper united the right. Andrew Scheer and Maxime Bernier just divided it.

It’s a disaster for every Canadian conservative who was counting on them to work things out like grown-ups, and win the election.

I just landed in Halifax to report on the convention — even though Scheer has banned The Rebel. We’re going to cover this disaster fairly and honestly — unlike the CBC, who Scheer invited into the convention itself.

The Media Party can’t contain their glee — they believe that not only did Scheer just lose the next election, but all of the ideas that Bernier was proposing have lost, too.

It sure seems that way right now — the party has just snatched defeat from the jaws of victory.

There are admirable qualities about both Andrew Scheer and Maxime Bernier. But the fact that they are still quarrelling 15 months after the leadership contest is something they both should be embarrassed about. And the fact that they both just gave the next election to Justin Trudeau is inexcusable.

I know one thing: our role at the Rebel — the only truly conservative media outlet in Canada — just got more important than ever.

I promise you that we will continue to hold Justin Trudeau to account, and promote true conservative ideas, no matter what Ottawa politicians say or do.

In fact, I think we’re in a bigger, tougher fight than ever, thanks to today’s disaster.

And I hope you’ll help us continue to bring you the facts. VISIT LetUsReport.com to see how you can help bring Canadians the other side of the story here at the Conservative Party convention.

Comments
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commented 2018-08-24 11:43:19 -0400
Ezra, you make a good point in that over 49% at the leadership convention voted for Maxime. He will take a fair share – probably from Quebec and Alberta – with him in the next election guarranteeing Jahaidi Justin a leadership win. It doesn’t matter whether it is a minority or majority as the socialist and green socialists will prop him up.
commented 2018-08-24 11:42:16 -0400
Scheer treated Trost very badly, and chased him out. He chased out the ‘peoples choices’, both Trost and Bernier. That doesn’t seem like a smart move to me and sounds very cino directed. We all know who they are in the party, and they clearly have more influence than they should have with Scheer.
commented 2018-08-24 11:40:11 -0400
CBC printed a transcript of the the woman asking Trudeau about the $147 million. The transcript was totally fake they cut out the 3 times Trudeau called her a racist ,and grandma, and intolerant and she does not deserve to live in this province. THis is the CBC in full protection mode. /This is how low the news has sunk to in this country.
commented 2018-08-24 11:38:56 -0400
Scheer obviously has no intention of changing his stance on the Diary cartel. Bernier knows that. Scheer will give it no time at the convention.
commented 2018-08-24 11:33:03 -0400
Ezra had suggested that it would have been prudent for Bernier before making such a draconian decision as leaving the party to wait and see, for example, how the convention would deal with supply management.

The process for bringing resolutions forward to the plenary involves splitting up the party members to debate in breakout sessions, divided into three lists, 76 resolutions, which had been prioritized based on voting at regional meetings and by federal riding associations online. Given that it’s unlikely with the time available that delegates will get all the way down each list, a National Post article noted with respect to supply management, “Don’t hold your breath, but last up at one of the breakout sessions is a resolution that suggests the party should, as Maxime Bernier advocated during his leadership bid last year, ‘phase-out supply management while smoothing the market adjustment for Canadian farmers’.”

This prompted Bernier to sarcastically reply, “So, party establishment says we’re open to debating supply management – BUT, only if we have some time left after everything else”. We’ll see if Bernier’s glum prognosis holds true.
commented 2018-08-24 11:24:27 -0400
Ron Shea , thanks for the you tube link for Frank Vaughan .
commented 2018-08-24 11:19:16 -0400
Judy White commented 2 hours ago
I don’t agree with jumping to this conclusion. Canadians are not life-long supporters of one political party the way Americans tend to be. At the end of the day, people will vote with their wallets,…..


Agree, so that would mean our relationship with the USA might be in the back of the minds of a lot of voters…….., does Bernier get along with Trump?
commented 2018-08-24 11:17:40 -0400
“Hyacinth, I do not believe Ezra is putting the blame on Bernier.”

Not full but half and that is half too much.
Ron, please note – Quote: “… Andrew Scheer and Maxime Bernier just divided it. … the fact that they both just gave the next election to Justin Trudeau is inexcusable…”
This is all Scheer’s fault full stop. Bernier reacted in the way most would, yet now Bernier is getting blame whereas Scheer should be the sole recipient of all blame for intentionally causing this situation to begin with. What Scheer has shown is that no opinion other than his is important, gee doesn’t that sound exactly like Trudeau."

Thank you Hyacinth. I understand your point and agree.
commented 2018-08-24 11:10:21 -0400
“I am not a fan of Scheer”

Sure sure we believe you Foulds [sarcasm]. You want people to believe you try not foaming at the mouth – also " RIP" is over the top.
commented 2018-08-24 11:02:03 -0400
RIP the fake Conservative party of Canada .
commented 2018-08-24 10:56:08 -0400
… Conservatives have one goal in the next twelve months, and must be united in this goal.
… Yesterday, Bernier revealed himself to be an arrogant, treacherous, and treasonous man. More importantly, an unforgivably stupid man.
… I am not a fan of Scheer. However, for the next twelve months, we must all be strong supporters. We must be clear minded and solid in our support.
RIP Bernier.
commented 2018-08-24 10:47:34 -0400
Ezra, excellent balanced report of the flaws on both sides, but, overall, I place the blame primarily upon Andrew Scheer. After the leadership race, as you point out, as a leader he had a responsibility “to reach out to people you defeat” and, in fact, Andrew Scheer won the leadership vote in large part by promising to maintain party unity.

Scheer’s obligation to reach out to build party unity was not only to Maxime Bernier.

Brad Trost, touted as a social conservative but closely aligned with Bernier on fiscal issues, finished fourth in the leadership race and it is acknowledged that a lot of his social conservative supporters in the end helped Scheer get elected. Patrick-Brown-like, Scheer despite the benefit he had received distanced himself from the social conservative base. Trost was not given a shadow cabinet position while someone like pro-carbon tax, pro-M-103 CINO, Michael Ching, was. Even worse in what Trost described as a “deliberate smear”, the party slapped his leadership campaign with a $50,000 fine for supposedly leaking the Conservative membership list to the National Firearms Association, a gun owners rights group. Trost, insisting his gripe was not with Scheer, but with “factions inside the party” who are working against him, launched legal proceedings against the party. However, his request for a judicial review was quashed by the court on the grounds that “The (Conservative party) is a voluntary association….and its decisions are not subject to judicial review,” leaving Trost’s campaign not only on the hook for the initial $50,000 fine, but must also having to pay an additional $22,000 in court costs to the party.

Finally, Trost lost the Conservative nomination in his riding of Saskatoon–University to the former speaker of the Saskatchewan Legislature, Corey Tochor, who described Trost, whose leadership campaign slogan was “100% Conservative”, as being “too polarizing”. Trost contends that the people inside the party who don’t like him had a hand in his nomination defeat. Not much party unity building going on here.
commented 2018-08-24 10:33:23 -0400
“Hyacinth, I do not believe Ezra is putting the blame on Bernier.”

Not full but half and that is half too much.
Ron, please note – Quote: “… Andrew Scheer and Maxime Bernier just divided it. … the fact that they both just gave the next election to Justin Trudeau is inexcusable…”
This is all Scheer’s fault full stop. Bernier reacted in the way most would, yet now Bernier is getting blame whereas Scheer should be the sole recipient of all blame for intentionally causing this situation to begin with. What Scheer has shown is that no opinion other than his is important, gee doesn’t that sound exactly like Trudeau.
commented 2018-08-24 10:33:15 -0400
" there are only so many conservatives to go around, significantly fewer than there are lefties. "

Thanks to Justin sock boy many liberals have jumped either over to Scheer or slunk down to the even more extremist ndp. The liberal vote is the one that is split to lose. It is entirely possible with the platform Bernier is presenting that a majority of Canadians including legal immigrants who respect this country and want it to remain strong, free and safe will stand behind Bernier. But as I have said, we have to see what his next move is.
commented 2018-08-24 10:25:01 -0400
“Jamie MacMaster commented 2 hours ago
Gee, I dunno, Ezra.

Did you really think that scheer-the-Liberal-steer had a chance of winning?"

Polling had the CPC well positioned to win. Their vote is less efficient than the Liberals, but with a near-tie at the polls, they were well positioned. Even Bernier saw that, I think. Idle speculation, but I have a hunch he was waiting for Scheer to lose so he could step in at the next leadership review. If Scheer wins, that plan falls to pieces.

“Paul Taylor commented 2 hours ago
I and my rural association will be voting for Mad Max. ’

The rural areas don’t really matter, electorally – there aren’t enough to swing it and they invariably vote for the Right. The ridings deciding the election are in the big city suburbs, where the CPC wins by single digits when they win. Splitting that vote is dangerous.
“Judy White commented 38 mins ago
I don’t agree with jumping to this conclusion. Canadians are not life-long supporters of one political party the way Americans tend to be”

The problem isn’t what conservatives feel, it’s what the electorate in general feels – there are only so many conservatives to go around, significantly fewer than there are lefties. They can only win as a unified force – the major seat swings take place about 35% popular vote and that’s where the unified right stands today plus or minus a bit. Harper got 32% in 2015. Neither splinter party would get anywhere near the votes needed to take the swing ridings that truly matter.

“I would say 95% of the couple of thousand responses I read and watched, were in favor of Bernier, and their view of Scheer is similar to what many of the Rebels have voiced here\’

The problem with that is, you’re only hearing from the ax-grinders rather than the electorate as a whole. The ones who make the difference probably aren’t pasting their opinions all over the internet.
commented 2018-08-24 10:15:02 -0400
Robert M. there are others in the party I respect, but not completely trust anymore. There are also hard core cino’s in the party and until its purged it isn’t even capable of true conservatism. I’m looking for a way to win, not a way to get the conservative party in no matter what. There is no leader replacement in that party anymore, not that it would happen now.
commented 2018-08-24 10:13:37 -0400
Andrew Scheer admonishing Bernier for speaking the truth about Trudeau’s radical multiculturalism really showcased all that is wrong with Scheer’s leadership. Scheer is beholden to the diary mafia. He should have done the honorable thing and crossed the floor and joined the Liberals and let a real leadership vote take place within the conservative party.
commented 2018-08-24 10:12:02 -0400
The Conservative and Liberal parties are two sides of the same coin! Both Morally Corrupt Socialist parties! The only difference is they way Canadians have been brainwashed to think one is different than the other! That’s worked out well for their Globalist agenda all these years! Maxime Bernier said the the Conservative Party in “Intellectually and Morally Corrupt.” Even if Scheer had have won the 2019 election, the reality is that things wouldn’t be much different. Now, at least there is something to rally behind. Change can be a good thing!
commented 2018-08-24 10:05:01 -0400
Sinking ship over here and the possibility of a life preserver over there. I still have to wait and see what Max does, but i’m not much for going down with the ship. Aside from that , the current numbers don’t mean that much. Scheer has been in the lead before. Scheer will be the master of his own demise, if he goes down. The fact is the bugger doesn’t deserve my vote, but if there is no choice he will get it. There may be a choice and if it is viable, I don’t think I will be able to say no to it. My loyalties lie with Canada. Who ever is going to save it, will be my man. Failing that I will vote for the party.
commented 2018-08-24 09:51:21 -0400
Hyacinth, I do not believe Ezra is putting the blame on Bernier. I believe Ezra is attempting to be objective in his journalistic approach showing both sides.

I went through quite a number of sites yesterday, left-leaning sites, right-leaning sites, independent sites and You Tube, Facebook and Twitter sites. I would say 95% of the couple of thousand responses I read and watched, were in favor of Bernier, and their view of Scheer is similar to what many of the Rebels have voiced here. On both Doug Ford’s and Stephen Harper’s Twitter feeds, most of the responses said they liked Doug and Stephen, but they were wrong to support Scheer on this issue and their loyalty lay with Bernier.

I think Bernier believed he had and still has cutting-edge ideas that were good for Canada’s present and future and good for the party, and he was not taken seriously by his fellow Conservatives because that would mean his fellow Conservatives going against the status quo and they did not want to risk their political reputations in a country dominated by aggressive and misleading fake news. And Bernier thought that was cowardly behavior.

Scheer could have had joint rule with Max after Scheer won since it was so close. That didn’t happen. Scheer could have made him deputy leader. That role went to Lisa Raitt. Scheer could have made him the Conservative responsible for Quebec. That didn’t happen. I blame Scheer more than Bernier because he is the leader and he had months and months to bring him on side. And didn’t. And if he couldn’t bring Bernier on side, how hard do you think it is going to be to bring Trump on side in a trade dispute?
My favorite line from Benier’s speech yesterday was:
“Andrew Scheer keeps talking about his “positive Conservative vision.” But nobody knows what that vision is.”

Bernier’s webpage has an impressive 20 pages of in-depth analysis on various topics. He knows his stuff.
And though some say Trudeau would win the next election, other than the demented lefties, who would actually vote for that fool now that social media has exposed so much of his crazy behavior? I think the NDP will pick up seats.

This video from independent Frank Vaughan is a very good analysis alongside Ezra’s:

Bernier’s Departure, And The Real Conservative Party
www.youtube.com/watch?v=B3zl63BCIiI
commented 2018-08-24 09:33:35 -0400
I don’t agree with jumping to this conclusion. Canadians are not life-long supporters of one political party the way Americans tend to be. At the end of the day, people will vote with their wallets, and for the person who will best protect their security and well-being. Even many who are impressed with Trudeau’s pretty smile and sock collection are unhappy with his irresponsible spending and open borders policy and they want a change. Half of Conservative members voted for Bernier, and there is huge dissatisfaction with Scheer as leader. Bernier is now voicing Kelly Leitch’s views and he recognizes that multiculturalism, mass immigration and fiscal responsibility are the key issues for Canadians, while Scheer maintains his politically correct, fence-sitting approach. Doug Ford took Ontario with a huge majority with minimal campaign time; it is entirely possible Bernier could do the same.
commented 2018-08-24 09:22:21 -0400
Robert, if they had a Leadership race now, who would get in, Aron O’toole? He is another closet Liberal with NO SPINE.
commented 2018-08-24 09:20:00 -0400
The CPC should come the realization that they made a mistake and fire Andy just like Trump would.
commented 2018-08-24 09:17:42 -0400
Smilin’ Andy is the leader of his party and responsibility for this mess lies squarely on his doorstep. He flew a false flag during the leadership race and then proceeded to support the Paris Climate Accord and M-103. Then he violated the principles of freedom of speech and freedom of the press by banning the Rebel from the convention. The CPC can still save the day by holding a leadership review and selecting a new leader. This will either sideline Max, by making him redundant, or force him back into the fold in a new race for leader. Just sayin.
commented 2018-08-24 09:00:27 -0400
It’s about time we get a real politician who spits on political correctness and standing for Canadians. Not standing for stupid principles…
commented 2018-08-24 08:57:40 -0400
Ezra, The latest Leader popularity poll showed Trudeau up 44% on Scheer. Most voters vote for the leader, so how do you and so many others think Scheer had a chance at winning the election?
commented 2018-08-24 08:52:34 -0400
Scheer and his party are completely out of touch with a significant number of its membership. He and the elites have no interest in maintain any of the traditional Canadian values. So it isn’t just Bernier rnier he ignored, it was the rest of us that are called racists when we aren’t. The rest of us white Christians that Trudeau attacks with not a word from Scheer.
Scheer certainly wsdnt interested in listening to you Ezra.He wouldn’t give you press status because he is afraid of what you call the media party. The Media Party was going to form the next government because they control the narratives which Scheer is too afraid to confront.
commented 2018-08-24 08:47:45 -0400
“Jamie MacMaster – if you see no difference between Sheer and Trudeau then why are you following politics?”

At this point, MIKE LAVIGNE, purely for amusement…and of course, for confirmation of my theory that the urbanization of a population leads to sterility, stagnation, and rot.

And Andrew Scheer and his yes-sheep that raised their hands and voted to support turdo-la-doo and his yes-sheep on climate change and supply management are proof.
commented 2018-08-24 08:46:29 -0400
Mike Lavigne commented
“Jamie MacMaster – if you see no difference between Sheer and Trudeau then why are you following politics”

Just lovely [sarcasm].
commented 2018-08-24 08:38:59 -0400
My opinion must side with Jamie MacMaster. Scheer has/had no chance of dethroning the Royal Trudeau Dynasty, why change parties when the flavor is the same? If people want more of the same they’d vote Liberal anyway. Stop putting the blame on Bernier Ezra, it takes two to tango and Scheer was the lead, the party is conservative in name only not policies and this has been for some time now.

Amy Lynn commented
“What a great day!!!”

The Liberal trolls are rejoicing but far too soon, they will not get the majority they anticipate, it will be a minority government for them at best and that will be with their third party political interference as in the 2015 election.

A minority government will hinder their activities greatly unless Scheer props Trudeau up which is more of a certainty than probability.