July 26, 2016

Ford Nation lives: Conservatives break through in Toronto by-elections

Eitan GilboordGuest Post

Ford Nation lives on in Toronto. Rob Ford’s 22-year-old nephew became a Toronto City Councilor in the July 25th by-election for his late uncle’s seat in Etobicoke.

But that wasn’t the only interesting election result from the night.

On the same day, Alexandra Lulka won a by-election in North York to be the new School Board Trustee for Ward 5. And her victory was nothing short of incredible.

Lulka was the underdog in Ward 5, running against star-candidate Erica Shiner.

Shiner is the granddaughter of former North York and Metro councillor Esther Shiner, and niece of Toronto Councillor David Shiner. The Toronto Star did the math and all but guaranteed another Shiner victory in North York.

Yet Lulka came out victorious.

And like the Ford’s, Lulka ran her campaign as a Conservative. Former Ministers Joe Oliver and John Baird endorsed her, her lawn signs were Conservative blue, and her literature had pictures of her with Conservative politicians. She wore her political allegiances as a badge of honour.

Alexandra won with 1,464 votes, defeating Shiner by 116 votes (roughly 2% of total votes cast).

Shiner had name recognition, backing by the public sector unions, and more resources. But Lulka was able to prove that a strong ground game combined with a strong Conservative branding effort can still be an advantageous strategy for success in Liberal-dominant Toronto.

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commented 2016-11-28 19:11:07 -0500
Micheal good to see you back.How much did you bet on Hillary?
commented 2016-07-27 02:04:30 -0400
Micheal Mann Liberal party is not liberal halfwit.
commented 2016-07-26 23:13:25 -0400
That may be true about the size of the ethnic demographic itself, if, that is, they are to be counted on their own, but, add them to the number of those who consider themselves conservatives to begin with and it becomes a different story. After all, the liberals only got 39 percent of the popular vote last election with the conservatives coming in at 31.
I think anyone would say that’s not such a great disparity.
Interestingly enough, I remember a protest against Kathleen Wynne’s sex-ed curriculum that took place in my neighborhood, it was overwhelmingly attended by ethnic groups, I think you will see more and more of these groups swinging to the conservative side because of policies that don’t reflect their values. The question is weather liberalism is slowly leaving its followers.
Also, you won’t find too many people who will disparage ‘liberal western democracy’, it is something all should try to preserve, but that’s not to say that because of this, all are liberals, that would be like saying “Canada is back” after someone wins an election.
commented 2016-07-26 20:59:41 -0400
Mikey Mann fails to come to grips with the fact that Gay marriage and other vanity issues are not why people shift to conservative governments – almost 100% of the time conservative governments win as people are driven there by fiscal mismanagement and heavy tax burdens.
commented 2016-07-26 20:25:25 -0400
John Rob,

That demographic is still way too small to win major elections.

The Conservative Party knows that they have to move more to the left and support things like gay marriage, if they are ever going to win an election again. They know they need to stop being archaic on some issues and be more progressive.

That’s the only reason why they are changing – because they know that they HAVE to even if they don’t WANT to.

Canada is a liberal country for the most part.
commented 2016-07-26 20:18:10 -0400
Ndp Sucks,

A simple internet search backs up my position, but fine – show me numerous polls or any information at all that confirms that the majority of Canadians identify as fiscally and socially conservative.

I will wait.
commented 2016-07-26 19:58:56 -0400
I see the trolls have found a story they can spread disinformation safely. Not like commenting on muslim violence where they could be held accountable…..eh!
commented 2016-07-26 18:22:43 -0400
Michael Mann,

On the surface it would seem you are right (no pun intended) it’s like comparing the Democrats in the states to Liberals Up here, they are far more to the right than their Canadian counterparts.
But I will argue that immigration is changing that, for the most part those who come here are people who hold traditional values with regards to marriage and the family unit, which is why Patric Brown has been so successful at recruiting ethnic memberships. They are also people who have come from places where authoritarianism in government is the norm, and for that, they appreciate the philosophy of less government in their lives. I live in a community with a very large population of immigrants from diverse sections of the world and have found them to be more conservative in their everyday lives than some studies let on.
You probably remember how the ethnic vote was key in the Rob Ford victory.
commented 2016-07-26 18:20:18 -0400
Mikey Mann

You are repeating the same stinking shit all of the time. Which fucking poll are you talking about and which shyster pollster conducted the damn thing. The only thing that is certain is that socialists lie through their fucking rotten teeth. Take a poll on that subject Mikey Moron.
commented 2016-07-26 17:31:26 -0400
John Rob,

It’s not a myth at all, but a fact – countless polls and surveys have confirmed exactly that. Canadians are liberal in varying degrees. Even if they are fiscally conservative, they are socially liberal.

The socially AND fiscally conservative demographic is incredibly small in Canada, which is the exact reason why the Conservative Party is trying to appeal to liberals by being more socially liberal.

They want to win elections.
commented 2016-07-26 16:59:38 -0400
Fantastic victory, Michael! I’m elated. Rob, your dear uncle and our great friend, is looking upon you from on high very proud. Bravo, ALexandra! All of us, keep pushin… we tolerate far too much violence, and ‘nationcide’ with all our values, traditions, building, morals, interests… no one has the right to take away what we have built, but they will only if we allow it! Great work! and thanks, Ezra!
commented 2016-07-26 15:10:37 -0400
Bob Egli,
Yea, not my kind of conservative either, didn’t vote for him, never have, just trying to dispel the myth that Canadians by nature are overwhelmingly liberal, as some like to believe.
commented 2016-07-26 14:28:39 -0400
John Rob—-Yeh John Tory a great Conservative; he wanted to build special schools for Muslims, with Public Dollars.
commented 2016-07-26 14:13:44 -0400
Last time I checked, the mayor of Toronto was a conservative, overwhelmingly so.
commented 2016-07-26 13:39:38 -0400
It only confirms that the people in Etobicoke are morons. His real last name isn’t Ford – he changed it to fool the Ford Nation sheep,
commented 2016-07-26 13:10:20 -0400
My experience with TorStar is if I want truth and reality read TorStar then think and do the exact opposite. So TorStar does have a place in finding truth and reality.
commented 2016-07-26 12:53:29 -0400
That is encouraging, I do believe being true to conservative principals can get us there. I hope the Federal Conservatives are taking note. Liberal lights can never win.
Rob is smiling, I’m sure.
commented 2016-07-26 12:32:19 -0400
another ‘overwhelming vast majority’ of the liberals that supposedly make up this country voted for conservatives,
commented 2016-07-26 12:03:00 -0400
It may be too little to actually make any difference. However, it may be an indication the stupid are finally waking up!
commented 2016-07-26 11:45:21 -0400
The Toronto Star did the math and all but guaranteed another Shiner victory in North York.

Once again, the media party identifies itself as pure fucking shit.

Suck it Torstar – fucking assholes!!!