The campaign has literally been going on for nearly two years between the primaries and the general election, and the non-stop campaigning ahead of all of that. Now it all comes down to how Americans cast their ballots today.
What does it mean for America, for the world?
And for those of us in the great white north, what does it mean for Canada specifically?
Everything in the world has been thrown at Donald Trump and yet, it is still a tight race. Instead of Clinton leading by double digits as some polls claimed a few weeks ago, instead of her spending time campaigning in solid Republican states to expand her win, Clinton is tied in some polls, behind in others, leading in some.
Not many Americans actually like Hillary Clinton.
If Hillary Clinton does win tonight, let me just point out to all of those smug Clinton supporters that you could not easily beat a man you portrayed, with ample support from the media as a buffoon, a sexist, a racist, a tax cheat, an idiot, a business failure and more.
That should tell you something about Hillary Clinton.
But what if she does win? What will that mean for Canada?
Well, Canadians mistakenly love Democrats and think their values are our values.
On the biggest issue between Canada and the US – trade – the last eight years have not been great for Canada.
For all the worry about Trump on NAFTA, it is Democrats that have caused Canada huge headaches over the years on issues such as steel exports, or softwood lumber where Democratic Senator and former Klansmen Robert Byrd, pushed to block Canadian wood and wood products from the US market. Canada eventually won that argument but not before thousands of jobs were lost and billions in economic activity dried up.
Oh, the softwood lumber issue is back since the old agreement ran out. So far despite the Trudeau Liberals pointing to their great relationship with the White House and Washington in general, nothing has happened.
So if Clinton wins we can expected lots of chummy photo ops with Trudeau and company but don’t expect much to happen.
Unlike her husband, Hillary has become a trade opponent and that could spill over into trade with Canada – not just opposition to the Transpacific Partnership.
According to Statistics Canada this country exported 525 billion dollars worth of goods in 2015 – 397 billion dollars worth of that went to the United States.
And on one of Canada’s biggest exports to the United States – oil, Hillary Clinton was in favour of Keystone XL before she was against it based on political considerations.
Now what if Trump wins, what can we expect?
Well first we can expect a lot of leftie Democrats to threaten to move to Canada without really doing it but our Canadian media will fawn all over them and run sympathetic stories.
Now, what about on the trade front?
We’ve all heard Trump say he would rip up NAFTA? Yeah, he thinks it is a bad deal.
But in all that rhetoric have you ever heard him complaining about a job leaving to go to Canada?
No, his concern is Mexico.
Canada and the US are equal trading partners with similar systems of government, we respect the rule of law, we have similar labour and environmental standards that all companies are required to live up to. You can’t say the same for Mexico.
Trump wants to re-do NAFTA because of Mexico not Canada.
And while we export 397 billion to the Americans, we import 363 billion dollars worth of goods from them.
He won’t mess with that.
The ties that bind Canada go deeper than who lives in the White House, it comes down to family connections, personal connections, regional connections that run far deeper than any one politician.