September 25, 2018

Conservatives win in New Brunswick. Is it contagious?

Ezra LevantRebel Commander


Last night, New Brunswick’s Progressive Conservative Party beat the governing Liberal Party. The Liberals won 21 seats and the Conservatives won 22 seats. But there are 49 seats in the legislature, so neither party won a majority.

The Green Party moved up from one seat to three; and a party I had never heard of before, called the Peoples Alliance, went from zero seats to three. They’re actually to the right of the Progressive Conservatives, if I’m reading their party platform correctly. If the Peoples Alliance backs the Tories, that’s 45. That’s a slim majority.

The Liberal lock on Atlantic Canada has been broken, but that the old two-party system, for so long dominant in the Atlantic especially, is broken, too. And not by the NDP. They got just 5 per cent of the vote.

The most interesting result is that People's Alliance Party, which got 13 per cent of the vote, up from just 2 per cent last time.

If you add up the three smaller parties, you get 32 per cent of the vote. Which is what the winning Conservatives got.

And I can’t help by thinking:

Maybe Maxime Bernier’s “People’s Party” isn’t such a crazy idea...

TONIGHT I'll review these and other lessons I think we can learn from the New Brunswick election results: About what happens when you dump refugees (some of them violent) far away from the fancy neighbourhoods in Ottawa and Toronto and Vancouver, for one thing.

You know, there is an enormous effort, after Donald Trump’s victory, to attack anything populist, anything alternative. Maxime Bernier had that happen to him on Sunday, on the CBC — they implied he was a foreign-funded stooge, and that he was associated with white supremacists — they actually smeared us at The Rebel, too.

I don’t think it’s working.

It hasn’t stopped Trump or Doug Ford. It’s not going to stop Jason Kenney; I don't think it’s going to work in Quebec.

Maybe one day our establishment politicians will listen to the people; maybe one day our establishment journalists will report honestly to the people.

Or not — and they’ll all find that the people have simply gone elsewhere...

NEXT: My guest is fellow Rebel Kurt Schlichter, to talk about his new book out called Militant Normals: How Regular Americans Are Rebelling Against the Elite to Reclaim Our Democracy.

FINALLY: Your messages to me!

 

Comments
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commented 2018-09-27 00:01:35 -0400
Karen,

I’m not advocating any form of illegal ‘political insurgency’. I’m advocating a strategic approach by Bernier (and/or the CHP) to achieve a better electoral result than another disastrous Trudeau term as PM. If Bernier runs a full slate, that is what will happen, because the conservative vote will be split right down the middle, letting the Liberals take many seats they otherwise wouldn’t take. But if Bernier runs about ten or twenty candidates in, let’s say, Quebec, and wins them at the expense of the Liberals (as Peter pointed out, that would be preferable), he would likely hold the balance of power or could form a coalition with the CPC on his terms. The left has been doing this for years, and it’s time the right realized that strategy on the right is necessary to stop the destruction of Canada by the left.
commented 2018-09-26 18:59:20 -0400
New Brunswick’s Premier Brian Gallant and his Liberals were big losers in their recent election, but have every constitutional right to try facing the legislature as the government when the next session commences. Also, Gallant wisely passed the 2018-19 budget earlier this year, thereby avoiding that potential non-confidence hurdle until early 2019.

Greens likely will not support (Progressive) Conservatives under any circumstances, which means defaulting to the Liberals, a principled stance, rightly or wrongly, but tactically questionable given their forfeiture of the balance of power. After all, New Brunswick has forty-nine seats with twenty-one Liberals plus three Greens only equalling twenty-four, presumably counting the Speaker who only votes to break ties.

By contrast, there seems to be some common ground between the Progressive Conservatives and the People’s Alliance (PA). Both seem to support low taxes, reduced government, and respect for rural people, a demographic held in contempt by many Liberals. And twenty-two PCs plus three PAs equals a twenty-five to twenty-four (minus the Speaker) majority plus a successful non-confidence motion.

Gallant might be fast approaching his past due date despite his pledge to carry on. Might this be a harbinger of things to come for Justin Trudeau? Stay tuned. The dominoes are falling and Quebec’s Liberal government could be next.
Kris Larsen
Halifax, NS
commented 2018-09-26 15:26:52 -0400
People need to understand and take comfort from the reality that whatever the common wisdom and polling says about the strength of the conservative right, add 10 points to that. The common sense of the average voter out there, who have been bludgeoned and terrorized into silence by the PC social-progressive, patently ridiculous left everywhere, is hugely underestimated. Despite the polls and that naive common wisdom, I got the Brexit vote right, I got the Trump vote right and I’ll be right about this one too. People have had enough and while they may continue to appear to tow the PC line when polled, they’ll vote for truth and common sense in the voting booth and against the progessive, childish BS we’ve all been subjected of late. The left has tripped over its own absurdity and its just the beginning of their end worldwide. Hurray.
commented 2018-09-26 13:03:40 -0400
IT IS TIME FOR CANADA TO HAVE IT’S OWN REFERENDUM….

IS THE GOVERNMENT PERMITTING TO MANY INCOMPATIBLE MIGRANTS TO ENTER CANADA….. LET THE PEOPLE DECIDE.

TRUDEAU IS UNFIT TO BE PRIME MINISTER….. LET THE PEOPLE DECIDE.

TRUDEAU SHOULD BE STOPPED NOW, THE NEXT ELECTION WILL BE TO LATE….. LET THE PEOPLE DECIDE.
Halal-uya,
commented 2018-09-26 12:43:11 -0400
- People are getting sick of the unhinged left. Their response is to act more unhinged. This is happening throughout the West. People want an alternative to the Liberals & they don’t trust faux conservatives. That’s what I take from recent elections including this NB election. We’ve reached a saturation point – the race card has no meaning anymore.

- I pre-ordered Kurt’s new book. While I was waiting I ordered one of his other books – People’s Republic. People should read more. Most have not read a nonfiction book since their schooling ended. Books by Rebels is a good place to start.
commented 2018-09-26 11:55:35 -0400
Recently heard a story from a guy who ran a business in NB . . . . employees would come in and ask to be Laid Off when they had accumulated enough time for EI . . . .
He sold the business to a group who after a few months shut it down.

I am personally skeptical as to any upside to the mess that is Canada today . . . the vast majority of Canadians are uninformed and ignorant . . . . and they like it that way !
commented 2018-09-26 10:42:13 -0400
Well if this trend to the right and to common sense is flowering in Canada, then it would be prudent to get rid of all those politicians who say they’re on the right but act as if they’re on the left. Time to clean house.
The CPC still has lots of time to correct the shenanigans that occurred at the leadership convention that inappropriately put Smilin’ Andy in a leadership position of conservatives – as he has proven to be the wrong man for the job, through his actions and non-action!
The time to strike is when the iron is hot…if the ‘leadership’ of the CPC – whomever that really is – is unwilling to let go of their Marxist-elitist stranglehold on the CPC, then they should be removed by the people, the grass roots – removed by the roots!
Then, once the Globalist traitors are cooling their heels in a state cage awaiting sentencing for treason, we can begin to ‘deal with’ the rest of the traitors and other enemies of Canada…
Or we could just sit here flappin’ our jaws while we lose everything!
commented 2018-09-26 08:56:15 -0400
Scheer in as PM this next term needs to be used as a stepping stone to Bernier’s People party in office in 5 years.

Trudeau absolutely MUST go. Canada may not recover from another 4 years of the fool.
commented 2018-09-26 08:44:02 -0400
Hyacinth, what will change if Scheer get in office is that at least Canada will not be embarrassed by a “Mr. Dressup” dancing fool who keep blurting out he is a feminist among other foolish statements. i.e “We must rethink thinks as basic as space and time.”. One of many.
commented 2018-09-26 08:39:34 -0400
Ted, I can agree with this statement,
“If Maxime Bernier runs a full or nearly full slate of candidates in the next federal election, it will produce a second Trudeau term in office, and Canada is toast.”

However this statement,

“But if he runs just ten or twenty candidates where he is most likely to win, and wins those seats, he could prop up (or form a coalition with) a minority Conservative government on the conditions he wants.”,

would not work unless the seats he takes would have voted Liberal. Otherwise he is just taking seats away from the “milquetoast Conservatives”.

Given the only choice of the timid and submissive Andrew Scheer or Trudeau, I would still rather have the Scheer the wimp.

Wow, that is a sorry state of politics in Canada when you have to choose between the manure or the fly that lives on it.

Just to clarify Maxime is neither the manure nor the fly.
commented 2018-09-26 07:59:25 -0400
- "I believe Scheer will be Harper 2.0 but more severe than Harper ever was…..But I do know I do not trust Scheer but rather fear him. But I fear for everbody else if Trudeau remains in power. "
- “If Maxime Bernier runs a full or nearly full slate of candidates in the next federal election, it will produce a second Trudeau term in office, and Canada is toast.”

Scheer is Liberal Lite, not much will change if Scheer gets in aside from the name on the door for his policies mirror the current Liberal agenda far too closely for comfort. Either way Canada is screwed, the economy will collapse, the only ones laughing either way are the ones employed in the public sector. Bernier at least offers a slim hope, better a slim hope than no hope.
commented 2018-09-26 04:34:00 -0400
Maybe, in the not too distant future, New Brunswick will allow fracking so that the young people of the province do not have to leave to get a job, so that they can pay for their social programmes and so that they can become a “have” province. Just sayin’.
commented 2018-09-26 03:55:39 -0400
If the PC’s have to supply a speaker they are tied at 24 seats each side!

This is going to be interesting.
commented 2018-09-26 02:23:11 -0400
Thanks Ted Tadright… That should be printed off and pasted to every conservative’s mirror for a reminder first thing each morning…
commented 2018-09-26 01:47:52 -0400
Karen Macleod said," Not while we have the rules of the Queen of England in this country. "

Karen, why should the Canadian people respect the Queen’s rules when our PM has broken them four times, ( the first PM to ever do this) and his Finance Minister once.

Excellent comment regarding Scheer, “I do not trust Scheer but rather fear him.”
The few times when he and Trudeau think, they are so alike.
commented 2018-09-26 01:47:35 -0400
Karen….Thanks, but wow! Food for thought, I enjoy thought provoking posts.
Same to you Ted,
Cheers!!
commented 2018-09-26 01:19:34 -0400
Ted Tadright-
The issue is with the capability of Max Bernier. Is he capable of registering that party and won’t or is too incompetent at this point to even form a party with thousands of members. The requirements I believe can be met at this point and I remain deeply suspicious of what is truly going on here.
I believe Scheer will be Harper 2.0 but more severe than Harper ever was. That is my belief.
Canada should not endure the hardships of liberty that the Obama administration put on Canada through Harper.
Who is to say its been eased? I don’t know.
But I do know I do not trust Scheer but rather fear him. But I fear for everbody else if Trudeau remains in power.
But under no circumstance besides that of all out war is a political insurgency acceptable. Not while we have the rules of the Queen of England in this country.
Thanks for letting me share.
commented 2018-09-26 00:58:58 -0400
Conservatives in Canada are in a real mess, with milqetoast leaders and vote splitting likely leading to perpetual Leftist traitor governments in Alberta and Ottawa. But New Brunswick shows this doesn’t have to be the case; we can have conservative minority governments propped up by right-of-center parties. If Maxime Bernier runs a full or nearly full slate of candidates in the next federal election, it will produce a second Trudeau term in office, and Canada is toast. But if he runs just ten or twenty candidates where he is most likely to win, and wins those seats, he could prop up (or form a coalition with) a minority Conservative government on the conditions he wants. Same in Alberta. Time to think strategically, like the Greens did in B.C., where they now call the shots as the coalition ‘partner’ of the minority NDP. New Brunswick should now be the model for right-of-center voters and parties. Think strategically and win power, or don’t do so and keep losing to the left.
commented 2018-09-26 00:48:01 -0400
Uh… People…. Better build your bunker. If Mad Max does not register the party and all this libertarian contageous stuff hits the fan, its called a political insurgency… And I frankly, am going deep into bear & big foot country until it resolves itself.
commented 2018-09-26 00:44:06 -0400
DIRK KANIS commented, “Traitor slime Robert, you are way to nice to that POS.”

Originally thinking Dirk was calling Robert ‘Traitor slime Robert’, I later realized this was not the case. But a comma after ‘slime’ would have helped make it clearer, Dirk, or better still:

“Robert, you are way too nice to that POS. He is traitor slime.”

I know what you meant, Dirk, but some people might not; now they should. And you are right.
commented 2018-09-26 00:08:59 -0400
JONATHAN BRYANT commented 3 hours ago
As a New Brunswicker who worked on the campaign for a Progressive Conservative canidate, I can tell you that immigration had nothing to do with the election. Not one party discused it. We have bigger problems…
________________________________________________________________________________
Jonathan, there is no bigger problem only more immediate ones. It’s like the The Tyranny of the Urgent. The urgent things aren’t ultimately important and the important things aren’t immediately urgent.

All the things you mentioned will only get worse under wide open immigration. Time for a moratorium on immigration until we define what the words mean concerning refugees, migrant, immigrant, legal, “irregular”. Right now the leftists are using them interchangeably to destroy our nation. All the things you are concerned about are going down the drain.
commented 2018-09-25 23:33:48 -0400
Jonathon Bryant—hard to believe no one in NB talks about Immigration ?
It would stand to reason that your Conservative Party and the Liberal Party FORBID the volunteers to talk Immigration, but the grass-root people want to talk about it or do talk about it.
Right now, half the World talks about it.
commented 2018-09-25 23:27:17 -0400
Traitor slime Robert, you are way to nice to that POS
commented 2018-09-25 23:24:08 -0400
103 Councillors for Montreal; The City of Boston has 13, while Los Angeles has 15.
No wonder Quebec has trouble paying its bills.
commented 2018-09-25 22:41:39 -0400
I understand that the CAQ leader taking a page from Doug Ford is calling for a reduction in the 103 councillors for the City of Montreal.
commented 2018-09-25 22:08:23 -0400
Exactly Keith B. That’s why trudeau was front and centre to meet the first wave of all his new voters and then gave the tweet to get the massive second wave of new voters..trudeau is slime.
commented 2018-09-25 21:55:32 -0400
What percentage of the Liberal vote was Islamic? I am sure these new refugees had a good brainwashing in to the joys of Trudeism and were reminded of the $50,000 handouts, for good boys. All donated by the Liberal Government and never mind where it came from originally.
commented 2018-09-25 21:53:47 -0400
The divide between French and English caused the split after how many years of duality? Now every graduate has to be fully bi-lingual if the PC’s keep their promise. What else will be intergrated in a giant melting pot thanks to the PC’s? This is about radical culture change in NB through enforcing what is the culture of NB and what is not. Unless you voted Liberal in the North where they promised to keep the French french.
commented 2018-09-25 21:08:11 -0400
As a New Brunswicker who worked on the campaign for a Progressive Conservative canidate, I can tell you that immigration had nothing to do with the election. Not one party discused it. We have bigger problems like hospital wait times for surgeries and procedures, a family doctor shortage, education, and employment as well as high taxes and out of control spending from Gallant and unfortunately David Alward PC toward the end of his term. The split was caused by two factors, the polarizations of bilingualism mostly French in the north and east coat in areas like Moncton and Shediac and English in the south. As you can see the French areas are prodomitally Liberal and English is mostly PC. Also I must point out that we have not had a minority government since 1920 and that brings me to factor number two. The People’s Alliance actively encouraged vote splitting amoungst the right which cost many PC canidates to lose to the Liberals including my riding of Fredericton North. Make no mistake about it, if it weren’t for the PANB we would have a PC majority in NB. I should also note that the PA leader Kris Austin was a PC member that lost his nomination and quite the party to form the PANB for the 2010 election. I say the lessen learned here is don’t split the vote next year federally or it could be worse than a minority Conservative government, we could easily face a Liberal NDP colalition in Ottawa.