July 06, 2015

Here's what a US/Iran deal could mean for Canada

Marissa SemkiwArchive

I sat down with historian Dr. Michael Bonner and Foreign Policy Concepts editor Reza Akhlaghi to discuss the possible nuclear deal between Iran and the U.S.

They discuss what circumstances led to Iran's current status as a rising regional power and whether or not it is too late to reign them in.

If the deal goes through, what does it mean for the region?

If sanctions are lifted, Iran will get an economic boost but sudden prosperity could actually increase domestic turmoil.

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commented 2015-07-07 00:09:44 -0400
Maurice, don’t you think Reza and Michael have a point though that a deal would allow us the legitimate use of spy technology that would detect any nuclear weapons proliferation that would, in turn, alert Israel (and hopefully her allies) to put a stop to it? I agree the Iranian regime is the world’s greatest sponsor of criminal terrorist organization globally. But I sure would like to see the Ayatollah toppled and the president replaced with a democratically elected moderate.
commented 2015-07-06 23:07:18 -0400
Iran’s agenda (The Iranian Régime… not the Iranian people) is to wipe Israel off the face of the earth and impose their brand of Islam on the whole world. Ayatollah Khomeini said as much when he said he didn’t care if it cost millions of Iranian lives as long as long as Islam becomes the one world Religion. It doesn’t matter whether a deal is signed or not. If a deal is signed, Iran will break it. If a deal isn’t signed, Iran will use that as an excuse to pursue nuclear weapons. Israel gets it, everyone who’s been following Iran’s internal conversations get’s it. Why don’t Obama and Kerry get it? Believe what they say. They’ve been saying it long enough.
commented 2015-07-06 22:52:33 -0400
The Iranian people are not our enemy. The Iranian hard-line religious government and its pro-terrorist criminal organizations are. If they can be overthrown by money coming into Iran that goes to business people and to fund alternate political parties, if those alternate political parties, pro-Western political parties, can overthrow the Ayatollah, maybe when he passes away which may be soon, well, ….

Let’s not close the door on the good people of Iran. They have suffered long enough from the madness of the current regime.
commented 2015-07-06 21:13:11 -0400
Thanks for that update Marissa.
Iran, N. Korea, ISIS, Russia, China, fill in the blanks.
The world has become rather volatile since he got his Nobel Peace Prize.
Can that Nobel Committee reconsider and take back the Prize?
The other day the Pentagon said, they were in a perpetual state of war.
Is there a happy end?
commented 2015-07-06 20:04:59 -0400
Bravo Zulu said: “it is my personal belief they will use it.
You can guess where.” Liza said: “Iran is not our friend,” Well, according to wannabe PM Trudope, Iran is our friend and he would encourage relations with them. One can also forsee the anti-semites in the Lieberal Party encouraging Iran to “test” their new weapon on Israel.
commented 2015-07-06 17:49:33 -0400
So now we should trust Iran just because Obama says so.
Although it is true that open free market capitalism does improve people’s lives and fosters freedoms,I don’t think this will occur in Iran where those with all the goodies and power aren’t going away. Why would they?
commented 2015-07-06 16:17:00 -0400
John Kerry gave Iran a stern warning…LOLOLOLOL.
Yeah and all the immoral, illegal, unconstitutional criminality of Obama and friends isn’t designed specifically to bring down America…
commented 2015-07-06 14:50:47 -0400
Thanks to Obama’s strange behaviour, and that is what I call it, all the allies are in a bad position. Everything Obama is trying to do is what has always been considered the thing NOT to do. Now that sanctions are being lifted, with no concession what so ever from Iran, and if some kind of deal DOESN’T happen, we will be powerless to manage the situation. That is what Obama has done. Even with a deal, but no sanctions they will lie to us anyway.
Israel will defend itself, and the allies have a responsibility to defend Israel. But aside from that certainty, Iran’s leaders have no mind to modernize or get along in the world. Anything to enable Iran right now, with not even sanctions to manage the scene, is going to lead to some very big problems to solve. Iran won’t play fair, Iran is not our friend, Iran should not be someone we do business with on any level. They can’t be trusted.

But what if Russia and China for example do? It is bad all around, any way you look at it.
commented 2015-07-06 14:48:05 -0400
Quite frankly if this deal goes through and Iran – liars that they are – do manage to develop a working nuke – it is my personal belief they will use it.

You can guess where.
commented 2015-07-06 14:17:44 -0400
Great interview, Marissa.

It sounds like both Michael and Reza agree that it might be in the best interests of both the west and the world for the deal with Iran to go through.

If both the political hard-liners and Iran’s criminal organizations (including Islamist ideology-driven ones) lose the domestic competition for increased foreign investment, perhaps the wonderful people of Iran could finally restore a more moderate, humane, and even democratic system of government and justice.

Reza makes a very good point about the inability of Iran, with the deal, to escape detection of efforts to build nuclear weapons. What makes it less likely they could get away with pursuing nuclear weapons proliferation, with a deal, is not that the IAEA inspections might uncover such activity – Iran has negotiated restricted access – but the ever-more sophisticated spy technology that not only the US invents but that our friend, ally, and technology leader in the middle east, Israel, invents.

There are spy technologies being tested by military that use ultrasound, remote control access of software, beetle drones, and laser surveillance and so on that can be surreptitiously planted by spies within Iran and then watched by the world.

And gee whiz, how convenient that Bill C-51 allows CSIS to participate in such covert surveillance in places like Iran.

The bug in this whole mess is, of course, that Iran’s dominant hard-line politicians and religious leaders are no doubt aware it is in their best nuclear-weapons and world-dominance interests to not sign the deal. Sigh.

As for Canada, what can we do but wait and see? Wouldn’t it be wonderful if Iranian hard-liners and criminal organizations were defeated by business interests that grow out of a lifting of sanctions under a potential deal? Wouldn’t it be wonderful for Iranians and Canadians and the world if Iran could restore a culture of moderate and humane rule?

I want to know what Netanyahu thinks of Michael’s and Reza’s views. Israel is already doing business with China to provide technological support for business security interests in the region that, it is hoped, may stabilize the middle east. I wonder if Israel might also find it expedient to do business with Iran in the event its hard-liners and criminals are defeated by the business interests of global investors, including China. After all, Netanyahu and most Israelis understand that when the Iranian masses chant “Death to America” and “Death to Israel” it is because if they don’t, it means death to them.
commented 2015-07-06 13:37:38 -0400
Great interview Marissa with much food for thought. This is the first time that I have been nudged to take a hard look at our relationship with the US and Obama’s foreign policy. Interesting that Canada might have to break away from certain aspects of this relationship until the US has a competent president.