In the federal riding of Halifax, it's time for every good Conservative to do his duty and vote for the socialist. It's important.
The EKOS/iPolitics tracking poll for October 8 shows an absolutely shocking collapse in NDP support here in Atlantic Canada. They're at 12.5%, almost seven points behind a Conservative Party deeply unpopular in the East -- and getting absolutely stomped by the Liberals who sit at 66%.
That's not a misprint.
The CBC poll tracker has everyone a little closer, but "Team Trudeau" (ugh) is still comfortably ahead in Atlantic Canada with 51.8% support. while the NDP is again shown in third place.
There can be no doubt about it:
Here in the East, the anti-Harper vote has swung overwhelmingly toward the Liberals, at the New Democrats' expense.
And with national polls showing a two-horse race between the Liberals and Conservatives, it might be time for Tories in some Atlantic ridings to hold their noses and vote NDP in ridings where they have a shot at holding on.
Despite a penchant for allowing 9/11 troofers to promote themselves on her constituency website, Halifax New Democrat Megan Leslie is very well-respected in the area. But her Liberal challenger Andy Fillmore has run a strong, apparently well-financed campaign -- his ads are freaking everywhere around here -- and ThreeHundredEight shows the Liberals leading in the federal riding of Halifax, seven points ahead of the NDP.
And what about Tory candidate Irvine Carvery? He's at 11.3%, with absolutely no chance of winning -- but with enough support, if utilized properly, to keep the Liberals from winning that seat. Halifax Tories may not want Megan Leslie as their MP, but if they can keep the seat out of Justin Trudeau's hands in a tight national race, a vote for Leslie makes a lot of sense.
It's a similar story in my native riding of St. John's South-Mount Pearl, where outspoken New Democrat incumbent Ryan Cleary is fighting for his political life against Liberal Seamus O'Regan. (Yes, it's the Canada AM guy.)
ThreeHundredEight has him over twenty points behind O'Regan, a gap too wide for Conservative supporters to bridge. But when you consider that the Tory candidate is an Ontario-based reality TV star who may have never set foot in God's Country before he became a candidate there, it's probably worth turning to the incumbent to keep the seat from turning red.
Next door in St. John's East, the popular Jack Harris will probably hold his seat. Indeed, even if the NDP suffers a 1993-style wipeout (everyone forgets that they were reduced to nine seats that year) he's probably one of the safe ones. But with the Tories again having no chance in that riding, Conservative supporters might as well play it safe and support Harris.
Elsewhere in Atlantic Canada, there's either a Conservative candidate with a chance at winning, or the Liberals are so far ahead of everybody that strategic voting wouldn't make a difference.
But in the ridings where it might make a difference, well, there's no law that says only left-of-centre voters can do it.
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