August 01, 2016

Dr. Tim Ball: How the world was deceived about global warming and climate change

Tim BallRebel Columnist

Current weather is normal; that is, it is well within the range of all previous weather and climate variations. There are no dramatic increases in temperature, precipitation, hurricanes, tornadoes, or any other severe weather. The climate is changing just as it always has and always will and the rate of change is perfectly normal. Of course, that is not what the government, environmentalists, or the media promote and as a result most of the public believe. The misconception is deliberate and central to the exploitation of global warming and climate change as the vehicle for a political agenda.

One phenomenon that creates the illusion weather is abnormal is the attention given by the media. We all experience being introduced to a person then seeing them pop up every time we turn around. It’s the same thing with cars after you buy one you see them everywhere. In both cases they were always there, but not part of your awareness. Weather and climate events seem to occur everyday, but it is because they became a media story. They always occurred. Now the story appears and is amplified by the sensationalism of the media with their "Extreme Weather Reports."

The entire objective of those pursuing the political agenda was to create the illusion that current weather is abnormal and therefore unnatural. They wanted to show that all this occurred in the last 100 years as a result of human industrial activity. The objective was to create false science, which was easy because few people know about weather and climate, a fact confirmed by a Yale University study that created a High School exam. Figure 1 shows the raw results with 52 percent getting an F and 25 percent a D for a total failure of 77 percent.

Figure 1

Promoters of the false story also knew people know even less about climate. Indeed, most don’t even know the difference between weather and climate. Weather is the atmospheric conditions you experience at any point in time. The climate is the average of those conditions in a region or over time.

A few years ago I wrote, but didn’t submit, a story for the Globe and Mail with the headline, “An Area of Arctic Ice Twice the Size of Vancouver Island Melted today.” The story then revealed that this was a normal amount of melt. Imagine my surprise when recently it appeared in reality! The headline I tongue-in-cheek considered writing was in a national newspaper:

Melting in the Arctic reached an all-time high in June: Ice has been disappearing at a rate of 29,000 square miles a day.

This is near the average daily rate of melt in the brief Arctic summer, but few people know this is natural. Approximately 10 million km2 of ice melts every summer in approximately 145 days, which is a melt rate of 68,965 km2 (26,627 square miles) per day. The amount mentioned is well within the wide variation in melt from year to year.

Figure 2 provides a brief context to show the wider natural range of temperature over the last 10,000 years. It shows the temperature of the Northern Hemisphere derived from Greenland ice cores.

Figure 2

The current temperature is on the right (red line). Some salient points that expose the lies and distortions;

* The world was warmer than today for 97 percent of the last 10,000 years, a period known variously as the Climatic Optimum, or more recently the Holocene Optimum. We have known about this warmer period for at least 75 years.

* The world was 2°C warmer than today 1000 years ago during the Medieval warming. Remember, you are told that the world is going to warm by 2°C, and that is catastrophic.

* The world was 4°C warmer than today during the Minoan warming.

* We are told the amount and rate of temperature increase in the last 100 years (shown in red) is abnormal. Compare the slope with any of the previous increases.

* The green line indicates the larger trend and shows that the Earth has cooled for approximately the last 7000 years.

The CO2 changes over this period, but those changes follow the temperature. The global warming proponents tell the public it is the opposite. As in all temperature changes, there is a logical explanation that does not include CO2. In this case the longer trend fits what is called the Milankovitch Effect (ME).  These are the collective changes caused by Sun/Earth relationships, including orbit, tilt, and precession of the Equinox (Figure 3).

Figure 3

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) does not include the ME in their computer models that are the source of predictions about future climate. No wonder they are always wrong.

The existence of the ME explains, beyond lack of knowledge, why the public is susceptible to the natural/unnatural ploy. Most people think the Earth’s orbit round the Sun is a small, unchanging ellipse. Science knew this was incorrect years ago. Joseph Adhémar (1797-1862) proposed that the likely cause of climate change in the earth’s solar orbit.

James Croll expanded the idea and calculated orbital eccentricity effects on solar radiation for different latitudes over 3 million years, and published the results in 1867. The primary cause of the orbital change is the gravitational pull of the planet Jupiter. It is a significant change. (Figure 4).

Figure 4

The cycle is 100,000 years, but that is from minimum to maximum ellipse and back to the minimum. The solar energy currently received when the Earth is closest to the Sun (perihelion) varies from +3.5% to -3.5%. When furthest away (aphelion) 20,000 years ago the difference was +8.5% and -8.5%.

Today, 149 years later, this is little known to most. The main reason is that it contradicts the philosophical basis of Western science, uniformitarianism. This is the idea that change is gradual over long periods of time. A quick look at the geologic or any other natural record shows it is false. However, it means people are easily persuaded that a change, especially sudden change, is unnatural.

People were vulnerable and therefore easily fooled. Worse, the deceivers deliberately changed the record to enhance their deception. They created what is natural or normal. Watch the video by Tony Heller (aka Steve Goddard) in which he demonstrates the changes made to the instrumental temperature record, all deliberately designed to enhance warming. These are the people who brand those who question the science as deniers and criminals. This is why it is the greatest deception, but worse, a deliberate deception.

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commented 2016-08-01 20:41:28 -0400
The response is always the same, insulting stuff. Emotional projectile vomit.

Deniers! How dare you !

too old to worry about the earth going to hell!

don’t you have kids or grandkids?

You alarmists are barking up the wrong tree. Your refusal to question or consider the fact that the climate is always changing, and concentrate on how to prepare for these inevitable ‘fluctuations’, only serve to keep more of the population in harms way for longer.
I ask the alarmists . "don’t you have any grandchildren, and if you really cared why are you standing in the way of finding the real time solutions to real time problems?
Shutting down all resource extraction ain’t going to make a lick of difference to the climatic cycles.
commented 2016-08-01 20:29:04 -0400
One has crawled out their parents basement for a pizza pop, hiding behind a fake name of course. Fucking idiot!
commented 2016-08-01 20:25:51 -0400
So Jupiter is responsible for climate change?
commented 2016-08-01 19:33:34 -0400
An eco-leftist with some common sense, forgot to mention that from the past 18 years there has been no recognizable warming of the climate ,
commented 2016-08-01 19:16:53 -0400
How dare you spew this BS. You’re a denier of the worst kind. You’re probably too damn old to worry about how the earth is going to hell. You don’t have kids or grandkids do you? How dare you throw gasoline on the fire. Climate change is real.
I know, it used to be called “global warming” until the science couldn’t be refuted. And they were calling for a new ice age, but again, the science couldn’t be denied. So now it’s called climate change. Ha ha, so there!
You can’t deny CLIMATE CHANGE until the science states otherwise…uh, oh wait…nevermind.
commented 2016-08-01 19:05:46 -0400
Thank you Dr. Ball for another excellent article on this very important topic that seems to be beyond the capacity of many academics and politicians to comprehend. It would be wonderful if it could be printed and/or distributed by some of our National News Media for the benefit of the general public. However, I believe that a Climatologist would refer to this as a snowball’s chance in Hell.
commented 2016-08-01 17:38:12 -0400
Well……it won’t be long until the resident leftist regressive climate expert fucktards are on here telling us that Dr. Ball doesn’t understand the science or that he is in the pockets of big oil. Can’t wait for the comedy to begin, going to make popcorn now.
commented 2016-08-01 17:10:34 -0400
I came across the Milankovitch theory a few years ago on one of my attempts to inform myself on ‘climate change’. The alarmists just won’t look at the possibility that the earths axis,orbit and sun spots have more to do with climate change than carbon dioxide ever could. You never hear them talk about the magnetic fields influence.

I came across a youtube of you and Elizabeth May on a call in radio show in 2015. The debate was on CFAX 1070AM radio on Ian Jessop’s show . Elizabeth said she couldn’t speak to anything regarding the influence the magnetic fields might have. Lets just say blew her out of the water. I wonder why the CBC doesn’t have you on?
commented 2016-08-01 16:55:51 -0400
Thank you Doctor, and thank you Ezra.
commented 2016-08-01 16:42:30 -0400
What is truly criminal is how science is taught in contemporary public schools. This includes the socialist science curriculum and the current cadre of undertrained science teachers. I remember science being taught that science consisted of theories, all of which were continually facing challenges. Now socialist science teaches absolute truth, which is settled truth to not be questioned. This is what defines a fundamentalist religion.
commented 2016-08-01 16:27:19 -0400
Uh oh, facts!!!! The achilles heel of the liberal left!!!!
commented 2016-08-01 16:26:49 -0400
Good article Tim.

A glimmer of hope from the UK. The new Prime Minister has closed down the Governments Department of Global Warming.
They are about to build another Nuclear Plant and are also going to open up some old Coal Mines.

In addition but not really related, they are going to build seven new Nuclear Submarines.

There are going to be some used Nuke Subs on the market soon, Justin, just what you need to defend yourself with, against all those nasty Christians. Oh I forgot, the USA will not let you buy them, they have American power plants.
commented 2016-08-01 16:22:14 -0400
Of course these global warmists claim their models tell them what the future will be. They are very sophisticated and complex. Well, the computer programs that were used for Jurassic Park were also sophisticated and complex. Doesnt mean there are real dinosaurs on an island.
commented 2016-08-01 16:15:55 -0400
Even the pope has proclaimed climate change to be a bogy man. Of course, for this pope, that is easier than, say, helping Christians who are in a genocide in the Middle East.
commented 2016-08-01 15:24:47 -0400
Of course those are the facts, but what do we do when even President Barak Hussein Obama “plays the climate disaster game”?…