April 08, 2015

If Alberta election was held tomorrow, who would win?

Marc PatroneRebel Commentator
The normally dull Alberta election landscape has been turned upside down following the release of a new poll
suggesting the 44 year old PC dynasty could be in serious trouble.
Think HQ has released poll results, asking Albertans which party candidates would they be most likely to support if a provincial election were held tomorrow.
Among decided voters, the Wildrose party, which was devastated four months ago by the defection of nine MLAs to the PCs, is leading with 31%.
Amazingly, the NDP is running second with 26% and the PC's have just 25%.
The Wildrose party is already downplaying these results; saying they don't believe in polls.
The results may be an outlier but they would explain a controversial decision by Jim Prentice to 
go negative right out of the gate labelling the NDP and Wildrose as extremists.
Both those parties laughed off the charge, saying Prentice is sounding a little nervous resorting to namecalling.
There is plenty of time for Prentice to try and make up ground as the election will be held May 5th.
If these numbers hold up, Alberta's political landscape will have experienced a seismic shift. 
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commented 2015-04-09 16:31:55 -0400
The PCs are hoping because the lack of organization, that the WR will not be able to capitalize on the poll results, and that strong PC candidates will make the poll irrelevent. If however the PC doe end up with a minority, I hope the concession for the WR to join the party will be to tell Prentice “audios”.
commented 2015-04-09 14:21:00 -0400
Valerie, maybe what you stated about the robo calls from the PC party was what Warren was referring to. I assumed he was meaning that the election itself was corrupt.
commented 2015-04-09 14:19:16 -0400
Warren, I am not sure what you mean. Was there any indication that it was a corrupt election? I know the main stream media hammered on the Wildrose relentlessly accusing them of being extremist right wing, but that does not indicate the election itself was corrupt. Maybe I missed the news report on that. Do you have a link to the news report on the 1012 Alberta election corruption?
commented 2015-04-09 13:15:35 -0400
I think we need someone to verify the legitimacy of the Alberta election. It will be every bit as corrupt as the last one.
commented 2015-04-09 12:34:49 -0400
This is a meaningless question to ask until May 4, 2015 the day before the actual vote and after election campaigning is almost complete. A lot can can happen during the time, most eligible Alberta voters can’t even name the leaders of the Wildrose, New Democrats, Liberals and Alberta Party right now.
commented 2015-04-09 10:25:56 -0400
Peter Netterville – The weekend before the last election, the PCs did a massive robocall to public Union employees promising them a 3% raise to vote PC. I can’t give you a link because there isn’t one, but my sister was a nurse at the time and I listened to a recording left on her phone.
commented 2015-04-09 10:10:55 -0400
Rebel.media — great post! A fantastic set of early poll results — and one can only hope that Wild Rose can keep its lead. I checked the Globe and Mail’s articles, in its “Alberta” web page, today (Thursday April 9, 2015), and, needless to say, this left-wing newspaper censored these first poll results. Instead, the paper led off with an article, on Calgary Mayor Naheed Nenshi “blasting Jim Prentice for an early election” (the Globe likes to worship Liberal Nenshi); plus a slavishly bootlicking story on NDP Leader Rachel Notley (“NDP Leader Notley could tap into an oil well of discontent”). So the Globe, one would think, has tipped its hand as to how the liberal-left media cartel will cover this election. They first will build up the main liberal-left parties (the Liberals and the NDP). But after this early poll, their must be panic in the corporate media boardrooms. Look for the Globe, CBC News and CTV News to lead a major assault against Wild Rose. The corrupt editors working within the big media cartel must be horrified at a Wild Rose resurgence. — David Murrell, Fredericton, NB
commented 2015-04-09 08:16:32 -0400
Are the KingAirs sold yet?? If I was an Albertan I would certainly consider keeping them to fly Prentice and his Cabinet home after the election. What fitting poetic justice that would be.
commented 2015-04-09 07:44:20 -0400
Valerie, I hope you are wrong, but I fear you might be correct. I know some Albertans who will vote PC regardless, and they know the state the PCs have got us into.

But people, remember what happened last election when the Wildrose looked like they would take a majority. The weekend before the election the main stream media had article after video after article of talking heads fear mongering that the Wildrose was a fanatical right wing party that would destroy Alberta. Over that weekend those support numbers dropped like a rock. It is my firm belief, and I could be wrong, that the main stream media had a large hand in defeating the Wildrose. In my opinion that was a dirty thing to do and is contrary to democracy, not an unusual thing for the left to do.
commented 2015-04-09 02:15:22 -0400
I am willing to listen to all sides but I had better hear something.
To me it is Wildrose with a new leader against NDP a dead horse and a public service union lover at that. The public service has a lot of votes but we are not all in that union are we? Time they dropped down to earth with the rest of us.
commented 2015-04-09 01:41:49 -0400
The polls may be encouraging for Wild Rose, but those high numbers for the NDP make me nervous.
commented 2015-04-08 23:46:50 -0400
Peter Babich – If Prentice gets his ass handed to him, I want to see it, but I don’t think enough Albertans understand what’s going on to make that happen.
commented 2015-04-08 23:28:32 -0400
Thank you Marc Patrone, I hope to see more of your work.
commented 2015-04-08 23:08:55 -0400
I don’t believe in polls, either. That being said, Prentice is running scared because Albertans are not falling for his… um… crap. We’re also mad as hell at this new budget, which will be turfed when he’s turfed. So, people of Alberta, make your choice known, make your voice heard — get out and vote!!!
commented 2015-04-08 22:58:13 -0400
Jim should concede rather than embarrassing himself when he gets his ass handed to him
commented 2015-04-08 22:56:00 -0400
Don Geddies found this out with a bad budget and snap election, he didn’t give up the government but he damn sure lost seats but these are way different times with the wildrose to choose from. Never forget what Redford did and slick Jim no better.