So I think it’s safe to say that we’ve got our first big campaign narrative of 2015, and it is: The NDP is a confused, frightened, haunted party without the courage of its own convictions. It’s obvious. And it’s going to hurt them – and the CPC!- really badly unless they figure it out, fast.
The Rebel news staff and the Megaphone have done sterling work in compiling the data points on this dismal trendline. Candidates muzzled, or not muzzled, for attacking Israel, for criticizing the tar sands, for calling Christians mentally ill. And if it was just NDPers….well…being NDPers, then it would be at least relatable. Voters expect the NDP to say these things. But these fools are asking Candidate A to resign while “distancing themselves” from Candidate B, which shows that the people at the top have no clue what they’re doing either. Nobody wants to get on a driverless bus, you silly dippers!
Look at the way they’ve coached their leader to seem totally inauthentic. Thomas Mulcair does rage well. He’s at his best when he’s tearing strips off people. Why then are the NDP campaign strategists telling him to wear a fixed and rigid rictus grin throughout the first debate? Why is he literally overshadowed by the ghost of Jack Layton on NDP campaign literature? Where are the cutting insults, the smoldering contempt, the sneering holier than thou attitude which in leftospeak is called “speaking truth to power” that have been this guy’s defining characteristics for his entire career?
Earlier this week I posited that the Swindle-ian method of classifying politicians can’t work in a Canadian context because we don’t know what our politicians are about, and we don’t know that because they don’t seem to know what they’re about. The NDP is clearly worried about losing all the people who were touched when Jack wrote that love was better than anger. But on the other hand you have all these people who are angry about Harper. Oh, what to do, what to do? Can’t offend anyone, because we’re Canadians!
Well, how about looking at what’s happened before when they’ve tried this same neither-here-nor-there silliness? We have one failed Olivia Chow campaign where her base stayed home because she started trying to pick up Ford voters. We have one failed Andrea Horwath campaign where the NDP tried to win over PC Party voters and ended up failing at that too. We have one successful Rachel Notley campaign where everyone else was dealing with constant rebellions and breakdowns while the NDP quietly stayed in their lane. It doesn’t take a genius to pick up on the pattern here, but the NDP’s moral confusion is causing them to do the same failed thing over and over again and expect a different result.
And do you know, friends, what happens when the NDP goes limp? That’s right: The beneficiaries are our old friends the Liberals. Justin has been his bumbling dudebro self on the campaign trail, to be sure, but that’s Justin being Justin. Patting a pregnant woman’s belly and posing with a topless woman at a Pride Parade are not what you’d call a stretch for Truderpy. These are fine distinctions, but they matter. And they matter for the CPC, because without the NDP splitting the vote, they lose.
Remember when I said that his campaign could be a repeat of Ontario, 1999? Does anyone want to see Trudeau move up from 3rd party leader to Leader of the opposition? Headlines that say “Trudeau exceeds expectations” after this vote is over? Everyone cool with that? I didn’t think so.
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