Is Justin Trudeau's celebrity status fading at the midpoint of his first term? Four by-elections are coming next week, one in a bellwether BC riding that should be an indicator of whether the Scheer Conservatives will be ready to challenge the Liberals.
By-elections will be held on December 11 in Bonavista–Burin–Trinity in Newfoundland, Scarborough–Agincourt, in Ontario, Battlefords–Lloydminster in Saskatchewan, and South Surrey–White Rock in BC.
The first three are either Liberal or Conservative strongholds that no one expects will change hands, but both parties consider the South Surrey-White Rock seat up for grabs.
The final results will be used as a sign of how the Liberals are doing half way through their term.
The 2015 results gave a rare win to the Conservatives in a major urban area thanks to the popularity of former Surrey Mayor Diane Watts who narrowly won the seat in a year that saw Trudeaumania sweep across the Lower Mainland.
Watts resigned her seat to pursue the BC Liberal leadership this summer and now we've seen both parties nominate star candidates for this byelection.
Watch as I introduce you to the star candidates running for each party and discuss their prospects.
The Liberal candidate in the by-election spoke excitedly about a high-energy campaign event held in November, with Trudeau hugging babies and high-fiving kids.
By contrast, are Scheer and the conservatives too boring for voters in this day and age?