Dear Ezra, Josh & my Counterculture Conservative Canadian friends: At this point I’m now in acceptance that Hillary Clinton is highly likely to become the next president for at least the next four years.
The result of Super Tuesday can be summarized simply: Donald Trump won, but not to a big enough degree to avoid a contested convention. He has a plurality of the party, but not a majority.
Yesterday, Trump won 234 delegates. Senator Ted Cruz won 209, Senator Marco Rubio won 90, Ohio Governor John Kasich won 19, and conservative celebrity Ben Carson won 3. So now three candidates -- Trump, Cruz, and now Rubio -- have all won states.
This is what a party divided, unsure of its purpose and identity, looks like.
As I made clear in my last Megaphone contribution in December: I am in the #NeverTrump faction of the American Right. In my view Trump has no core beliefs or values beyond narcissism. He will do and say whatever he thinks might benefit him at the time. The case that Trump is in any way better than Hillary Clinton is the definition of weak tea. (Sorry, Hugh Hewitt, but no, we cannot trust that Trump would appoint originalists to the Supreme Court.) He cannot be trusted to stand on any principle -- not even the ability to consistently denounce white supremacists.
Even if Trump is denied the nomination at some contested convention then the result will still be that he’ll run third party and guarantee the presidency to Hillary, the same favor Ross Perot provided for her husband in 1992.
So how did Trump do it? A simple principle of war that applies to politics too: divide and conquer. The primary ideological dynamics of the Republican Party have largely remained the same since the end of World War II, as I explained in my first post laying out the 15 Kinds of American Conservatives. Corporatist compromisers who favor the maintenance of a status quo have contended with grassroots activists crusading for shrinking government at home and defeating enemies abroad.
I broke down this dynamic in the race back in August. I grouped the 17 candidates into either “establishment corporatists,” “crusader conservatives,” or those who appeal to “Segments of the Fringe.”
Trump has come out on top because there were too many establishment and crusader conservative candidates competing with each other, and with the force of his personality and celebrity he was able to consolidate the fringe. (And now the suggestion is that another fringe candidate with big government populist views and a snake-oil-salesman-reputation -- Mike Huckabee -- is his potential VP.)
So what should American conservative activists do? Give up on winning the election? Yes. I have. The alternative opportunity now presenting itself is potentially better: the way to break the back of the Democratic Party for a generation, perhaps forever, is to impeach Hillary Clinton during her first term. Until the Democrats are revealed as the criminal enterprise they are, they will continue conning the American people for decades. They have to be stopped and the force of the Law is what will eventually do it, not through elections.
What will it take to prepare America for that? Not political activism, but cultural and spiritual activism. The American electorate have to learn again how to recognize evil, godless people so they can avoid being duped into being enslaved by them. This task is one totally unsuited for the world and tools of politics.
Warmest Regards from Sunny So-Cal,
David M. Swindle