Is Justin Trudeau in danger of losing in his home riding of Papineau in the Oct. 19 election?
Yes, according to a new poll commissioned by the New Democratic Party.
The CROP poll released Thursday shows NDP candidate Anne Lagacé Dowson, an award-winning former CBC/Radio-Canada journalist, leading the Liberal leader in voter intentions.
Support for Dowson in the Montreal-area riding currently stands at 46 per cent compared to 35 per cent for Trudeau. Bloc Québécois candidate Maxime Claveau, a graduate of the Conservatoire de musique de Montréal and teacher, is running in third place with 10 per cent of poll respondents backing his campaign. Conservative candidate Yvon Vadnais, another former journalist, has five per cent. The Green Party nominee Danny Polifroni is sitting at 4 per cent.
Speaking to the CBC in August, Dowson said:
“I think that this riding is eminently winnable. It has been reconfigured since the last election, there are a lot of disaffected Bloc voters who are looking for a progressive place to put their vote, I think there are disenchanted Liberals also. People want something different.”
Based on telephone calls to 375 voters in the riding from Sept. 11-14, the poll has a margin of error of five percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
CROP pollsters also asked voters who they think would make the best prime minister, the National Post reports.
NDP leader Tom Mulcair received 50 per cent in this category, while 26 per cent backed Trudeau. Twenty-four per cent either declined to respond or had no answer to give.
Trudeau has represented the Montreal, Que., riding of Papineau since 2008.
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