December 12, 2018

UK: PM Theresa May survives confidence vote

Jack BuckbyRebel Contributor

The rumours were true. This morning, Sir Graham Brady informed the Prime Minister that the required 48 letters had been submitted, and a confidence vote was being called.

Unlike last time, those who submitted the letters didn’t back out last minute. The vote happened, and Mrs. May has spent the day wondering whether she could win it.

Downing Street is said to have believed that as few as 70 MPs would vote against her, but that didn’t stop them restoring the whip of a Tory MP who was suspended during a sex text scandal. Andrew Griffiths MP had his whip restored after being suspended for six months after inappropriate text messages were unearthed and he responded in kind, voting in support of the Prime Minister.

Before the vote took place, Andrea Jenkins (a staunchly pro-Brexit MP) told Sky News that Members of Parliament who were expected to vote in favour of the Prime Minister had been telling her that, in the secret ballot, they may not support her after all. So of course, there was a great amount of talk about Mrs May losing the vote and being forced to resign as Prime Minister. But that’s not how it worked out.

The results were as follows:

Confidence in the Prime Minister: 200
No Confidence in the Prime Minister: 117
Majority: 83

Her win is being spun in many different ways. May loyalists claim that the result strengthens her position, as she gained one extra vote compared to the number of Tory MPs who initially voted for her during the leadership election. Jacob Rees-Mogg and the Brexiteers, however, see it quite differently.

Speaking to the press shortly after the result was announced, Rees-Mogg explained that with 139 Tory MPs on the payroll, she really only got a further 61 MPs to back her. He said that she should behave like Thatcher and resign, rather than like Major and lead the Tory Party to defeat.

A very likely explanation for the Prime Minister’s victory tonight is that she gave up her opportunity to fight another election. Before the vote, Mrs May announced that she would not be leading the party into the 2022 election[2] – potentially swaying some MPs who might have been concerned she would be unable to lead the party to victory in the next General Election.

The Prime Minister was, however, unclear during the 1922 Committee meeting whether she would fight an election held before 2022. With the threat of a vote of no confidence being made against the government – which is possible if the DUP decides to team up with Labour – then Mrs May would need to make a decision to step down, or fight. Given a snap election would happen quite quickly, she’d probably be forced to fight it.

As a result of her win, and according to the Conservative Party’s own rules, May is safe as leader of the party for a further 12 months. No more votes of confidence can be made until those 12 months are up.

Mrs May now has a job to finish. She will go to a European Union summit where she will continue seeking further assurance over the backstop issue, and I’m beginning to think she might have something up her sleeve. She won’t be able to change the withdrawal agreement, but if her legal reassurances are strong enough, she could win enough of her own party over. Not only will she use the threat of a Corbyn government or no Brexit at all, but some legal reassurances could be enough to sway some MPs who accept they lost the no confidence vote.

Even Jacob Rees-Mogg told Sky News tonight that if she comes back with a change to the backstop issue, then even he will compromise and vote for it. Surely she knows that, and perhaps she can even do more than just gain reassurances. If she can convince the EU that this is important enough, she could make the changes she needs to win Brexiteers over with – and maybe she’ll even get the DUP back on board.

Will it all be worth it, though?

Upon taking the reigns as Prime Minister, May told us that she was intending to fight burning injustices. She now has to completely abandon her domestic agenda, deliver the Withdrawal Agreement, deliver a trade deal, and step down before 2022 comes along.

She will, at least, be fighting harder than ever to cement her legacy as the successful Brexit Prime Minister.

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commented 2018-12-29 12:23:58 -0500
Of course, I forgot. Marxist like Theresa May, do not believe in democracy.
commented 2018-12-15 11:29:13 -0500
A politician’s job is to first serve their Country and then their People, unfortunately in most cases this dose not happen. Most politicians once elected and settled in on their new jobs, begin to think of their own self preservation and their pay cheques, voting in a manner that will be safest for them, regardless of what the end result will be. They become nothing more than Meme’s……..Meanwhile their Country goes to hell.
commented 2018-12-13 11:29:05 -0500
The EU is a precursor of what faces the rest of Western Society as the United Nations continues to take steps to bring us under global domination.
commented 2018-12-13 08:19:20 -0500
Shrug, May is as much a fitting symbol/ symptom of what Britain has become as turdo la doo is to Canada.
commented 2018-12-13 00:48:52 -0500
John Galt…If your wife is correct, you will love Dr. Steve Turley as he is always optimistic. He believes that the EU is on its last legs. He does 2 videos a day and has an impressive percentage at being correct.

By the way you can email The Rebel and they will fix your two name problem.
commented 2018-12-12 23:33:48 -0500
Ron Joseph : The sad part of this…is that my wife and some of my friends have told me that I have been and am a hopeless optimist.I truly want to see the best in people….because the alternative is that we revert to the caves…..
commented 2018-12-12 22:50:25 -0500
I do not think that this article requires much comment…except that politics is quite often…a sewer and in a sewer,the large pieces tend to float on top.May is doing what numerous “leaders”(past and present) have done,are doing and will do….give the illusion of accomplishment….because…..posterity….posterity….
If possible,I would vote for Forest Gump right now because he made a hellavu lot more sense than many of the so-called leaders around…..and he thought he was limited.He did not realize how far ahead of the “pack” he was……
commented 2018-12-12 21:19:40 -0500
There is no way the EU is going to let the UK leave under any circumstances. May is like all the other globalists, in that she’s mastered the art of talking out of both sides of her mouth at the same time. She’s not to be trusted. I can’t believe that she didn’t go down in flames, as she well deserves.
commented 2018-12-12 20:09:54 -0500
Good coverage Jack. Ms May’s trouble is the fact that she is in truth a NWO Marxist, determined to bring the UK down to her version of a Bright New World. She said that she will not run in the next election but this dose not mean that she cannot do a lot of damage between now and 1922.
The Brexiteers will never accept the Backstop BS and the EU will not change it, unless the price is right. Make that 40B, 80B, give it to the EU and perhaps they will agree to listen to Theresa…..For five minutes.
commented 2018-12-12 19:46:49 -0500
The British Conservative Party has many Traitors that wanted Brexit, yet allowed this terrible woman to survive.